Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.5%
Elfsborg
19.4%
Draw
67.2%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Elfsborg
vs
2.41
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.6%
0-4
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).