Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Bradford
24.7%
Draw
31.6%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bradford
vs
1.20
Swindon
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).