Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
M'gladbach
23.9%
Draw
51.5%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
M'gladbach
vs
1.88
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).