Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.7%
Lorient
12.9%
Draw
5.5%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Lorient
vs
0.46
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-1
5.8%
0-0
5.2%
5-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).