Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Brighton
32.6%
Draw
30.4%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Brighton
vs
1.04
Everton
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).