Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Parma
29.1%
Draw
44.1%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Parma
vs
1.21
Bologna
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).