Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Falkirk
23.2%
Draw
17.3%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Falkirk
vs
0.94
Alloa
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).