Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
Santander
21.6%
Draw
24.1%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Santander
vs
1.25
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).