Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Nott'm Forest
27.7%
Draw
52.2%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.66
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).