Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Boulogne
22.0%
Draw
36.5%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Boulogne
vs
1.50
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).