Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Villarreal B
24.8%
Draw
45.7%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Villarreal B
vs
1.55
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).