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AHT: 01CSV

19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.3%
Maidstone
33.2%
Draw
36.6%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Maidstone

vs
1.05

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).