Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Stockport
21.0%
Draw
11.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Stockport
vs
0.76
Sutton
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).