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10 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.6%
Livingston
28.8%
Draw
12.7%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Livingston

vs
0.61

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
13.9%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).