Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Maritimo
20.4%
Draw
51.8%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Maritimo
vs
2.08
Estoril
Markets
BTTS67.2%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-3
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).