Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Reading
29.7%
Draw
38.2%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Reading
vs
1.25
Preston
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).