Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Portsmouth
31.3%
Draw
30.4%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Portsmouth
vs
1.02
Preston
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).