Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.6%
Ajaccio
14.6%
Draw
78.8%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Ajaccio
vs
2.28
Lyon
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.5%
0-1
14.9%
0-3
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-1
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
0-5
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).