Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Levante
23.3%
Draw
23.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Levante
vs
1.08
Malaga
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).