Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Bromsgrove Sporting
27.2%
Draw
20.1%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.88
Benfica
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).