Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Monza
30.9%
Draw
40.9%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Monza
vs
1.08
Lecce
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.557.0%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).