Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Plymouth
23.4%
Draw
43.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Plymouth
vs
1.47
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).