Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.4%
Rennes
12.5%
Draw
11.1%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Rennes
vs
1.20
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.581.3%
Over 3.563.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
4-0
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
5-1
4.1%
4-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).