Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Sp Gijon
19.1%
Draw
13.6%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Sp Gijon
vs
0.84
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).