Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Ath Madrid
22.7%
Draw
12.6%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Ath Madrid
vs
0.65
Eibar
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).