Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.2%
Dortmund
12.3%
Draw
5.5%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.93
Dortmund
vs
0.69
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
4.8%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).