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20 Jan 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.8%
Pendikspor
21.8%
Draw
68.4%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Pendikspor

vs
2.31

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
6.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.5%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).