Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Perugia
27.9%
Draw
40.0%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Perugia
vs
1.46
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).