Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Hertha
24.4%
Draw
22.9%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Hertha
vs
1.19
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).