Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Burgos
29.9%
Draw
17.4%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Burgos
vs
0.58
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS31.1%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.2%
0-0
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).