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08 May 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.7%
Karagumruk
34.3%
Draw
40.0%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Karagumruk

vs
1.31

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).