Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Stevenage
26.0%
Draw
28.7%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Stevenage
vs
0.96
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).