Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Ayr
26.3%
Draw
19.0%
Queen of Sth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Ayr
vs
1.01
Queen of Sth
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).