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29 Oct 2023 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Ankaragucu
36.2%
Draw
33.8%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Ankaragucu

vs
1.12

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).