Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Burton
25.5%
Draw
27.2%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Burton
vs
0.94
Northampton
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).