Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Lugo
31.2%
Draw
45.5%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Lugo
vs
1.13
Logrones
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).