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AHT: 03CSV

15 Feb 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.3%
Livorno
27.0%
Draw
15.7%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Livorno

vs
0.73

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).