Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Eibar
26.7%
Draw
17.5%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Eibar
vs
0.67
Eldense
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
12.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).