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AHT: 01CSV

21 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Lazio

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.7%
Lecce
32.2%
Draw
44.1%
Lazio

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Lecce

vs
1.06

Lazio

Markets

BTTS32.3%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.7%
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).