Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Schalke 04
20.4%
Draw
67.0%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Schalke 04
vs
2.17
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.6%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).