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09 Mar 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Grazer AK
26.7%
Draw
50.0%
Sturm Graz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Grazer AK

vs
1.60

Sturm Graz

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).