Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Cardiff
14.5%
Draw
12.0%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Cardiff
vs
0.95
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).