Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.8%
Villarreal B
30.2%
Draw
44.0%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Villarreal B
vs
1.16
Burgos
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).