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DHT: 11CSV

29 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.5%
Falkirk
17.2%
Draw
8.3%
Queen of Sth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.58

Falkirk

vs
0.80

Queen of Sth

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
5-0
3.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).