Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.2%
Benfica
14.2%
Draw
6.6%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Benfica
vs
0.51
Aves
Markets
BTTS35.9%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.8%
1-0
13.6%
3-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.3%
1-1
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-0
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).