Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.1%
Bury
11.7%
Draw
10.2%
Virginia Water
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Bury
vs
1.27
Virginia Water
Markets
BTTS69.6%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.8%
Over 3.569.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
4-0
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
5-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-2
4.2%
1-1
3.8%
5-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).