Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Vitória Guimarães
26.4%
Draw
19.5%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Vitória Guimarães
vs
0.89
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).