Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Manchester City
25.2%
Draw
30.7%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Manchester City
vs
1.16
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).