Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
FC Koln
21.4%
Draw
26.4%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
FC Koln
vs
1.33
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).