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HHT: 31CSV

09 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.8%
Cittadella
28.6%
Draw
36.6%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Cittadella

vs
1.34

Pescara

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).